Stephanie Wagner vs Mara Guth Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Wagner and Guth have recently displayed second serve performance with Guth slightly leading at 39.06%, compared to Wagner's 37.22%. Does this small margin impact match predictions significantly? Yes, it often does.
• In return game stats, Guth again has a slight edge, securing 53.7% of points on opponents' second serves versus Wagner's 52.16%. On first serve returns, Guth outpaces Wagner with 40.69% compared to Wagner's 35.35%.
• When under pressure, Guth exhibits a marginally better ability to save breakpoints at 49.12%, just ahead of Wagner's 46.83%.
• In overall performance over the past year, Guth shows a stronger win/loss record of 55.36% compared to Wagner's 50.88%.
• Both players excel on hard surfaces, with Wagner having a 67% win rate and Guth 63%. On grass, neither has claimed victory, each holding a 0% win rate.
• Event level plays a role, with Wagner competing slightly more successfully in tournaments > $10K (52.73%) compared to Guth (54.29%). Does event level consistency influence predictions? Often, yes.
• In opponent quality, Wagner faces stronger competition with an average opponent rank of 375.05, while Guth's opponents average a rank of 460.45.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Guth tends to perform better with a 56% win rate over Wagner's 47% in such situations.
• In terms of break point conversion, Guth has been more efficient, converting 44.83% of opportunities compared to Wagner's 42.57%.

Editorial Prediction (July 8, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Wagner and Guth showcases various performance metrics, giving Guth a slight overall advantage. Guth's marginal superiority in second serve performance and return game statistics highlights his ability to control rallies better.

Additionally, Guth's superior breakpoint saving under pressure and recent win/loss record tilt the balance in his favor. Despite both players excelling on hard courts, Guth's consistent performance in high-pressure situations and efficiency in converting breakpoints give him an edge.

Taking into consideration these factors, Guth appears to be the more likely winner in the upcoming match against Wagner.